Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.022897 0.027765 0.032888 0.038636 0.044867 0.051380 0.058669
2026-02-08 0.014177 0.020580 0.027882 0.036611 0.046579 0.057454 0.070073
2026-02-15 0.009434 0.016453 0.025086 0.035963 0.048883 0.063406 0.080664
2026-02-22 0.006759 0.014128 0.023838 0.036608 0.052235 0.070178 0.091853
2026-03-01 0.004877 0.012366 0.022926 0.037355 0.055458 0.076601 0.102470
2026-03-08 0.003680 0.011285 0.022692 0.038778 0.059358 0.083709 0.113784
2026-03-15 0.002588 0.010039 0.022023 0.039484 0.062258 0.089542 0.123537
2026-03-22 0.002343 0.010273 0.023464 0.042968 0.068621 0.099518 0.138158
2026-03-29 0.001321 0.008531 0.021725 0.042000 0.069236 0.102469 0.144407
2026-04-05 0.000819 0.007668 0.021221 0.042644 0.071850 0.107805 0.153451
2026-04-12 0.000393 0.006624 0.020270 0.042557 0.073445 0.111839 0.160896
2026-04-19 0.000157 0.005861 0.019682 0.042921 0.075581 0.116505 0.169074
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.004978 0.018809 0.042901 0.077314 0.120830 0.177061
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003591 0.016677 0.040822 0.076181 0.121504 0.180584
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002788 0.015524 0.040145 0.076889 0.124460 0.186859
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002412 0.015247 0.040829 0.079459 0.129776 0.196028
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002102 0.015056 0.041621 0.082159 0.135249 0.205384
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001968 0.015297 0.043124 0.085864 0.142017 0.216347
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001703 0.015107 0.043870 0.088475 0.147360 0.225534
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002000 0.016611 0.047546 0.095296 0.158187 0.241562
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001445 0.015424 0.046526 0.095347 0.160187 0.246578
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001232 0.015229 0.047205 0.097832 0.165350 0.255535
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000941 0.014626 0.047114 0.099173 0.169000 0.262585